Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Georgia State Panthers

League: NCAAF | Date: 2025-11-08 04:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-08 07:37 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Coastal Carolina Chanticleers / Spread / -7.5 at -108 / 58% / Coastal Carolina’s superior 5-3 record and home-field advantage against a 1-7 Georgia State team struggling on the road make covering the spread likely, aligned with simulation cover rate.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 57.5 at -112 / 54% / Both offenses rank low in yards per play this season, with Georgia State’s defense allowing big plays but overall totals trending under in recent matchups, supporting a lower-scoring game.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Coastal Carolina Chanticleers / Moneyline / -298 / 75% / Coastal Carolina holds a clear edge in form and injuries, with simulation projecting 74% win probability despite heavy favorite status.]

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Georgia State Panthers on 2025-11-08

Game Times
ET: 4:00 PM
CT: 3:00 PM
MT: 2:00 PM
PT: 1:00 PM
AKT: 12:00 PM
HST: 10:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[72% / 28%]

💰 Money Distribution
[68% / 32%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -7 and has held steady at -7.5 across major books, with minimal movement indicating consensus on Coastal Carolina despite public leaning.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2.5% on Coastal Carolina spread; simulation and current season metrics show value against implied odds, with Georgia State’s 1-6 ATS road record adding edge.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 74% |
| Win % for Georgia State Panthers | 24% |
| Spread Cover % for Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 56% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 53.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [ -12, +18 ] |

Player props unavailable due to roster verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Coastal Carolina, aligning with sharp money indicators and line stability, making a follow strategy optimal based on the team’s 4-1 Sun Belt record versus Georgia State’s five-game skid. Georgia State’s 11 players listed out weaken their lineup further, while Coastal Carolina’s clean injury report bolsters their edge. Overall game scoring outlook points to under, as both teams average below 25 points per game offensively this season, with defensive metrics suggesting a controlled, low-total affair.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Coastal Carolina Chanticleers] — mathematical probability favors their dominance in this mismatch.

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