Colgate Raiders vs Northeastern Huskies

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-07 05:05 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-07 05:36 PM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 Colgate Raiders / Spread / -5.5 at -105 / 58% / Colgate holds a clear edge with home-court advantage and superior adjusted defensive efficiency in early-season metrics, positioning them to cover against a Northeastern team struggling offensively after their opener loss.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 147.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit low-tempo styles and strong defensive rebounding rates from preseason data, suggesting a controlled, lower-scoring affair below the line despite even odds.

💰 Best Bet #3 Colgate Raiders / Moneyline / -225 / 68% / As the favored home side with better overall efficiency ratings and no major injuries, Colgate’s implied win probability aligns with market consensus for a straightforward victory.

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🏀 Matchup: Colgate Raiders vs Northeastern Huskies on 2025-11-07

Game Times

ET: 5:05 PM
CT: 4:05 PM
MT: 3:05 PM
PT: 2:05 PM
AKT: 1:05 PM
HST: 11:05 AM

💸 Public Bets

Colgate Raiders 72% / Northeastern Huskies 28%

💰 Money Distribution

Colgate Raiders 65% / Northeastern Huskies 35%

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

The spread opened at -4.5 and moved slightly to -5.5 across major books like DraftKings and BetMGM, with minimal steam indicating stable action favoring the home team without significant sharp reversal.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+3.2% on Colgate spread / Odds imply 55% cover probability, but adjusted metrics and home advantage push true probability to 58%, creating a positive EV edge; totals show neutral value with even money distribution.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Colgate Raiders | 68.5% |
| Win % for Northeastern Huskies | 30.2% |
| Spread Cover % for Colgate Raiders | 57.8% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.3% / Under: 51.7% |
| Average Total Points | 146.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.1, 12.4] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Colgate, aligning with money distribution and line stability, supporting a follow on the favorite rather than a fade. Sharp action appears to reinforce this without reverse movement, bolstered by Colgate’s home efficiency edge. The game outlook leans toward moderate scoring, with both defenses limiting possessions in a matchup of evenly matched mid-majors early in the season.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with Colgate Raiders — Mathematical probabilities and market consensus point to the home team covering and winning, driven by superior defensive metrics and no notable injury disruptions.

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