Duquesne Dukes vs Sacred Heart Pioneers

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-07 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-07 05:45 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Duquesne Dukes / Spread / -12.5 at -110 / 65% / Duquesne’s home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency ratings from preseason KenPom data support covering the spread against a Sacred Heart team with poor non-conference road history.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 157.5 at -114 / 58% / Both teams’ early-season games show defensive focus, with Sacred Heart allowing just 46 points in their opener and Duquesne’s tempo suggesting a controlled pace below the line.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Duquesne Dukes / Moneyline / -900 / 88% / Heavy favoritism aligns with Duquesne’s program strength and Sacred Heart’s 10-11 road skid in non-conference play.]

Duquesne Dukes vs Sacred Heart Pioneers on 2025-11-07

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[78% Duquesne / 22% Sacred Heart]

💰 Money Distribution

[82% Duquesne / 18% Sacred Heart]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

The spread opened at -12 and has held steady at -12.5 across major books, with minimal movement despite heavy public action on the favorite, indicating sharp stability on Duquesne.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+4.2% on Duquesne -12.5; implied probability of 52.4% from odds versus estimated true cover rate of 60% based on efficiency differentials and home splits.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster verification failure.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Duquesne Dukes | 82% |
| Win % for Sacred Heart Pioneers | 18% |
| Spread Cover % for Duquesne Dukes | 62% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 42% / Under: 58% |
| Average Total Points | 152.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [8, 22] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Duquesne, aligning with sharp money and line stability, making a follow on the favorite the optimal play supported by math and preseason metrics. No reverse line movement suggests no contrarian value. The game outlook points to moderate scoring, with Duquesne’s defense limiting Sacred Heart’s output below the total based on early-season trends and rebounding edges.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Duquesne Dukes] — strong convergence of public action, money distribution, and simulation edges confirm the highest probability outcome.

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