Colorado Avalanche vs New York Islanders

League: NHL | Date: 2025-11-16 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-16 05:04 PM EST

Colorado Avalanche vs New York Islanders on 2025-11-16

💰 Best Bet #1 [Colorado Avalanche / Puck Line / -1.5 at -110 / 55% / Avalanche’s strong home offense and recent wins align with simulation cover rate, despite Islanders’ form]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 6.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams show scoring trends in recent games, with Avalanche averaging high goals and Islanders contributing in road wins]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Colorado Avalanche / Moneyline / -180 / 60% / Home advantage and superior xGF metrics give clear edge over Islanders’ travel fatigue]

Game Times
ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[70% / 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% / 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Avalanche -1.5 and held steady, with slight money shift toward home side despite public lean.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Avalanche puck line / Consensus from form and sim supports value against implied odds]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Colorado Avalanche | 60% |
| Win % for New York Islanders | 25% |
| Spread Cover % for Colorado Avalanche | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points/Runs/Goals | 5.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-1, +3] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on the Avalanche, supported by their recent scoring outbursts and home-ice edge, making a follow optimal over any fade. Islanders’ road wins show resilience, but key injuries like Barzal out weaken their attack. Overall game outlook leans toward moderate scoring, with Avalanche offense driving potential overs based on xG trends and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Colorado Avalanche / No clear edge]

Highlights unavailable.