Florida Atlantic vs UConn

League: NCAAF | Date: 2025-11-22 03:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-22 02:01 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [UConn / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 58% / UConn’s superior recent form and defensive metrics give them a strong edge to cover, with simulation showing 58% cover rate against Florida Atlantic’s struggling offense.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 48.5 at -110 / 62% / Both teams’ low-scoring recent games and defensive efficiencies point to a grind-it-out affair, aligning with the 62% under probability in simulations.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [UConn / Moneyline / -250 / 62% / UConn’s higher win probability from advanced metrics and home-field trends make them the clear favorite despite the juice.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Florida Atlantic | 38% |
| Win % for UConn | 62% |
| Spread Cover % for Florida Atlantic (+3.5) | 42% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 38% / Under: 62% |
| Average Total Points | 45.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10.5, +7.2] |

Florida Atlantic vs UConn on 2025-11-22

Game Times

ET: 3:00 PM
CT: 2:00 PM
MT: 1:00 PM
PT: 12:00 PM
AKT: 11:00 AM
HST: 9:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[25% / 75%]

💰 Money Distribution

[40% / 60%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at UConn -6.5 and has held steady with slight movement toward UConn amid public action on the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on UConn spread / Reasoning: Implied probability from odds (52.4%) undervalues the 58% simulated cover rate, creating a positive EV edge supported by UConn’s efficiency ratings.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors UConn, aligning with sharp money indicators and line stability, making following the favorite the optimal approach rather than fading. Both defenses have shown strength in limiting explosive plays this season, suggesting a low-scoring game under the total. Overall, the matchup tilts toward UConn controlling the pace without high totals.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with UConn / Mathematical probability favors the Huskies based on win simulations and market consensus.]

Highlights unavailable.