NHL
Nashville Predators vs 
Colorado Avalanche
League: NHL | Date: 2025-11-22 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-22 06:06 PM EST
🏒 Top 3 Overall Best Bets
💰 Best Bet #1 [Nashville Predators / Spread / +1.5 at -150 / 66% / Nashville’s defensive structure and home-ice advantage limit Colorado’s high-danger chances, with simulation showing strong cover probability despite Avalanche’s offensive edge.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 6 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ recent games trend low-scoring (Nashville 2.3 GPG last 10, Colorado allowing 2.8), plus key injuries reducing firepower for a sub-6 total.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Colorado Avalanche / Moneyline / -132 / 52% / Colorado’s top-3 goals per game (4.20 GF/GP) and stars like MacKinnon overpower Nashville’s bottom-10 offense, even on the road.]
🏒 Matchup: Nashville Predators vs Colorado Avalanche on 2025-11-22
Game Times
ET: 8:00 PM
CT: 7:00 PM
MT: 6:00 PM
PT: 5:00 PM
AKT: 4:00 PM
HST: 2:00 PM
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Nashville Predators | 42.5% |
| Win % for Colorado Avalanche | 52.3% |
| Tie % | 5.2% |
| Spread Cover % for Nashville Predators +1.5 | 65.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Colorado Avalanche -1.5 | 34.2% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.7% / Under: 51.3% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.9 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-3, 2] |
💸 Public Bets
[38% Nashville / 62% Colorado]
💰 Money Distribution
[42% Nashville / 58% Colorado]
💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]
📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Colorado -1.5 (+120) and moved to -1.5 (+116), with slight steam toward Avalanche despite balanced public action, indicating minor sharp interest in the favorite.
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Nashville +1.5 / Simulation cover rate of 65.8% exceeds implied probability of 60% at -150 odds, driven by Nashville’s rest advantage and Colorado’s injury-depleted forward group.]
Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Nathan MacKinnon / Over 1.5 Points / 1.5 at +110 / 68% / MacKinnon’s league-leading 16 goals and 28 points this season, plus Nashville’s weak PK (78.2%), make multi-point games likely in high-usage role against a middling defense.
Player Prop #2: Filip Forsberg / Over 3.5 Shots on Goal / 3.5 at -115 / 62% / Forsberg averages 3.8 SOG per game in 2025, elevated vs. Colorado’s leaky high-danger defense (allowing 12.4 shots/60), with volume up in home matchups.
Player Prop #3: Cale Makar / Over 0.5 Assists / 0.5 at -130 / 71% / Makar’s 25 assists lead defensemen, thriving on Colorado’s top PP (28.6%) and Nashville’s penalty-prone play (9.2 PIM/GP), with on-ice xGA/60 at 2.1 supporting setup opportunities.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Colorado with 62% of bets, aligning with money distribution at 58%, suggesting consensus without sharp resistance or reverse line movement to fade. Following the favorite is optimal here, as metrics confirm Colorado’s offensive superiority despite injuries like Nichushkin out. Overall game scoring outlook points low, with combined xGA/60 (5.4) and recent trends favoring under 6 goals amid Nashville’s defensive regression.
🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Colorado / Mathematical edge on their moneyline and spread cover aligns with simulation win probability, bolstered by key activations like Landeskog.]
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