Sacred Heart vs Holy Cross

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-21 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-21 06:31 PM EST

Sacred Heart vs Holy Cross on 2025-11-21

💰 Best Bet #1 Sacred Heart / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 55% / Sacred Heart benefits from home court advantage and superior early-season efficiency metrics, covering in simulations against Holy Cross’s road struggles.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams show defensive tendencies in limited games, with adjusted efficiencies suggesting a controlled pace below the line.

💰 Best Bet #3 Sacred Heart / Moneyline / -280 / 68% / As the clear favorite at home, Sacred Heart’s win probability aligns with their edge in offensive rating and Holy Cross’s poor road form.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Sacred Heart | 68.5% |
| Win % for Holy Cross | 30.2% |
| Spread Cover % for Sacred Heart | 52.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.7% / Under: 51.3% |
| Average Total Points | 149.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.0, 22.0] |

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Sacred Heart 65% / Holy Cross 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Sacred Heart 55% / Holy Cross 45%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -6.5 from open, with minimal movement despite moderate public action on the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Sacred Heart -6.5, driven by simulation cover rate exceeding implied probability and home efficiency edge.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Sacred Heart, supported by their home advantage and Holy Cross’s road skid, making following the public the optimal approach. The matchup projects as moderately low-scoring, with both defenses holding opponents under 75 points per game in early action. Overall, EV favors the favorite without contrarian signals from line movement or injuries.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Sacred Heart — mathematical probability supports their cover and win based on efficiency and form.

Highlights unavailable.