Weber State vs UT Arlington

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-22 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-22 06:49 PM EST

Weber State vs UT Arlington on 2025-11-22

💰 Best Bet #1 Weber State / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 55% / Weber State benefits from home-court advantage at the Dee Events Center, with superior adjusted offensive efficiency (105) against UT Arlington’s defense, supported by recent form showing strong cover rates in home games.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 147.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams play at a moderate tempo (Weber 70, UT Arlington 68), with defensive efficiencies limiting scoring; recent games for Weber average 142 total points, favoring a lower-scoring affair.

💰 Best Bet #3 Weber State / Moneyline / -140 / 58% / Weber State’s home dominance and edge in efficiency ratings give them the highest win probability, aligning with sharp money trends.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Weber State | 58% |
| Win % for UT Arlington | 42% |
| Spread Cover % for Weber State | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 145 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8, 12] |

Game Times
ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[60% Weber State / 40% UT Arlington]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% Weber State / 45% UT Arlington]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line stable at Weber State -3.5, with slight movement toward the favorite despite balanced public action, indicating professional support for home team.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Weber State spread; implied probability undervalues their home efficiency edge against UT Arlington’s road struggles in current season data.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Weber State but aligns with sharp money and money distribution, making following the favorite optimal rather than fading. The game outlook points to moderate scoring, with both teams’ defensive metrics suggesting a total under the line based on pace and efficiency. Contextual factors like home advantage for Weber State reinforce the mathematical edge without significant injury disruptions.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Weber State — highest probability supported by simulation and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.