Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights

League: NHL | Date: 2025-11-24 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-24 07:34 PM EST

Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights on 2025-11-24

💰 Best Bet #1 [Utah Mammoth / Spread / +1.5 at -160 / 78% / Utah’s home-ice advantage and Vegas’s key injuries like Karlsson and Stone tilt the puck line coverage, with simulation showing strong cover probability despite close moneyline.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 6 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ recent defensive metrics and goalie matchups suggest a lower-scoring affair, aligning with average simulated goals of 5.8 and Utah’s solid penalty kill.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Utah Mammoth / Moneyline / -105 / 51% / Slight edge at home with Vegas hampered by injuries to offensive leaders, matching implied probability from current lines.]

Game Times
ET: 09:00 PM
CT: 08:00 PM
MT: 07:00 PM
PT: 06:00 PM
AKT: 05:00 PM
HST: 03:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[55% Utah / 45% Vegas]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% Utah / 40% Vegas]

💹 Market Alignment
[Divergent]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable from open -110 ML both sides; slight shift toward Utah on money despite public leaning Vegas, indicating sharp action on home underdog.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Utah ML; line holds value against Vegas injuries and Utah’s recent home form, with EV boosted by reverse line movement signals.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Utah Mammoth | 51.2% |
| Win % for Vegas Golden Knights | 48.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Utah Mammoth +1.5 | 78.5% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.2% / Under: 51.8% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-3.0, 3.0] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment favors Vegas slightly due to their road record, but sharp money flows to Utah amid Vegas’s injury woes like Karlsson out and Hill sidelined, creating a divergent market with value on the home side. Math supports following the money over the public here, as EV calculations confirm positive edges on Utah bets. Overall game outlook points to moderate scoring, with defensive xGA metrics from both teams favoring the under based on current season trends.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Utah Mammoth] — mathematical probability favors the home team with injury-adjusted edges.

Highlights unavailable.