Rider vs Coppin State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-25 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-25 03:52 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Rider / Spread / -8.5 at -110 / 60% Confidence
Rider’s strong home-court advantage and superior adjusted offensive efficiency against Coppin State’s weak defense create a clear edge, with recent form showing consistent covers in similar matchups.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 146.5 at -110 / 55% Confidence
Both teams exhibit low-tempo playstyles and average defensive rebounding rates, leading to controlled possessions and totals trending under in recent games, especially with Coppin State’s poor shooting efficiency.

💰 Best Bet #3 Rider / Moneyline / -450 / 78% Confidence
Rider dominates as the favorite with a significant talent gap, backed by high win probability in simulations and historical performance against mid-major underdogs.

Rider vs Coppin State on 2025-11-25

Game Times
ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Rider 70% / Coppin State 30%

💰 Money Distribution
Rider 65% / Coppin State 35%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at Rider -8.5 and total 146.5, with minimal shifts indicating consensus on the favorite despite moderate public backing.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% EV on Rider -8.5, driven by simulation convergence and contextual metrics like Rider’s home efficiency rating outpacing Coppin State’s road defense.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Rider | 78.0% |
| Win % for Coppin State | 22.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Rider | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 145.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-14.2, 24.8] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Rider, aligning with sharp money indicators and line stability, making a follow on the favorite optimal rather than a forced fade. Both teams’ defensive metrics suggest a lower-scoring affair, with Coppin State’s turnover-prone offense limiting explosive plays against Rider’s home defense. Overall, the matchup favors Rider’s control, reducing upset risk.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Rider — mathematical probability supports the favorite’s cover and win based on efficiency edges and simulation outcomes.

Highlights unavailable.