Illinois State vs Charlotte

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-27 01:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-27 11:44 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Charlotte / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 58% / Charlotte’s home efficiency and Illinois State’s road struggles align with simulation cover probability, supported by recent form and defensive metrics favoring the favorite.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 138.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ adjusted defensive efficiencies and low-possession tempo suggest a controlled pace, with recent games averaging below the line despite neutral offensive outputs.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Charlotte / Moneyline / -220 / 65% / Strong home-court advantage and superior overall efficiency ratings give Charlotte the edge in win probability against an underperforming Illinois State.]

Charlotte vs Illinois State on 2025-11-27

Game Times

ET: 1:30 PM
CT: 12:30 PM
MT: 11:30 AM
PT: 10:30 AM
AKT: 9:30 AM
HST: 7:30 AM

💸 Public Bets
[40% / 60%]

💰 Money Distribution
[70% / 30%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line stable at -5.5 for Charlotte, with minimal movement despite moderate public interest on the underdog.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Charlotte spread; simulation probabilities exceed implied odds, backed by efficiency metrics and home splits from current season data.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Charlotte | 65% |
| Win % for Illinois State | 35% |
| Spread Cover % for Charlotte | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 20] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward the underdog Illinois State, but sharp money favors Charlotte, aligning with mathematical edges from efficiency ratings and simulation outcomes. Following the favorite is optimal here, as reverse line stability and home defensive advantages outweigh public bias. Overall game scoring outlook points to a lower-output affair, with both teams’ rebounding and turnover rates projecting under the total.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Charlotte] — simulation and market data confirm the highest win probability on the home favorite.

Highlights unavailable.