Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls

League: NBA | Date: 2025-11-28 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-28 07:06 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Chicago Bulls / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 55% / Bulls hold a clear edge with superior recent form and key players like Coby White probable, while Hornets struggle with multiple outs; line movement supports Bulls despite public lean.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 225.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams rank below league average in pace and efficiency this season, with injuries limiting scoring; recent games average under this total, favoring a defensive battle.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Chicago Bulls / Moneyline / -190 / 55% / Simulation and metrics favor Bulls’ road win probability, backed by better offensive rating and Hornets’ home weaknesses against similar opponents.]

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls on 2025-11-28

Game Times
ET: 7:30 PM
CT: 6:30 PM
MT: 5:30 PM
PT: 4:30 PM
AKT: 3:30 PM
HST: 1:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Hornets 42% / Bulls 58%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Hornets 35% / Bulls 65%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Bulls -3.5 and moved to -4.5 with sharp money on Chicago, despite 58% public on the favorite, indicating professional backing.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Bulls spread; EV positive due to RLM against public and contextual factors like Hornets’ injuries reducing their output.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Charlotte Hornets | 45% |
| Win % for Chicago Bulls | 55% |
| Spread Cover % for Charlotte Hornets | 48% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 218.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-7.2, 11.8] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Coby White / Over Points / 21.5 at -115 / 65% / White probable and averaging 23.2 PPG in last 5 without restrictions; Bulls’ usage rises against Hornets’ weak perimeter defense, hitting over in 4/5 similar matchups.

Player Prop #2: LaMelo Ball / Over Assists / 8.5 at -110 / 60% / Ball leads Hornets in playmaking at 9.1 APG this season; with Bridges out, his role expands, and Bulls allow 8.7 assists to PGs, over in 70% of home games.

Player Prop #3: Nikola Vucevic / Under Rebounds / 10.5 at -105 / 58% / Vucevic questionable but if plays, faces Hornets’ strong frontcourt; averaging 9.8 RPG lately with limited minutes, under in 3/5 vs similar rebounding teams.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward the Bulls, aligning with sharp money and distribution, making following the favorite optimal rather than fading. Injuries like Grant Williams out for Hornets and Vucevic questionable for Bulls tilt the matchup toward a lower-scoring affair, with both defenses holding opponents under 110 PPG recently. Overall, metrics support Chicago’s edge without overvaluation from hype.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Bulls] — mathematical probability favors their cover and win based on form, injuries, and simulation convergence.

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