Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings

League: NBA | Date: 2025-11-28 09:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-28 07:09 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Utah Jazz / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 55% / Jazz favored at home with Kings missing Sabonis, recent form shows Utah covering in 3 of last 5; simulation supports 52% cover rate]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 225.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams average under 112 points recently with defensive adjustments and injuries limiting scoring; pace metrics indicate low-output game]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Utah Jazz / Moneyline / -150 / 55% / Home advantage and Kings’ key absences tilt edge to Jazz, aligning with 55% win probability from metrics]

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings on 2025-11-28

Game Times

ET: 9:30 PM
CT: 8:30 PM
MT: 7:30 PM
PT: 6:30 PM
AKT: 5:30 PM
HST: 3:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[55% Utah Jazz / 45% Sacramento Kings]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% Utah Jazz / 40% Sacramento Kings]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Jazz -2.5 and moved to -3.5 with balanced action, no significant RLM despite public leaning slightly toward underdog Kings.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Jazz spread] — Implied odds undervalue Jazz’s home efficiency and Kings’ frontcourt issues without Sabonis, supported by current season defensive ratings.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Utah Jazz | 55% |
| Win % for Sacramento Kings | 45% |
| Spread Cover % for Utah Jazz | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 224 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15, 17] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment slightly favors the Kings as underdogs, but sharp money aligns with the Jazz on the spread, indicating value in following the line movement and home team metrics. Injuries like Sabonis out for Sacramento weaken their rebounding and interior scoring, while Utah’s defensive rating holds strong against similar opponents. Overall game outlook points to a lower-scoring affair, with both teams’ pace and efficiency trending under recent totals.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Utah Jazz] — Mathematical probability favors the home team based on injury impacts and simulation edges.

Highlights unavailable.