Loyola Marymount vs Stony Brook

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-28 10:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-28 07:13 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Loyola Marymount / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 58% / Loyola Marymount’s adjusted offensive efficiency ranks highly in the current season, while Stony Brook struggles defensively on the road, with simulation cover rate supporting positive EV amid aligned market action.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 137.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempos and strong rebounding rates that limit second-chance points, with recent games trending under and average simulated total of 135.2 indicating a low-scoring affair.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Loyola Marymount / Moneyline / -450 / 78% / Dominant home-court advantage and superior overall metrics give Loyola Marymount a clear edge, as reflected in the 78.5% simulated win probability against an outmatched Stony Brook.]

Loyola Marymount vs Stony Brook on 2025-11-28

Game Times
ET: 10:00 PM
CT: 9:00 PM
MT: 8:00 PM
PT: 7:00 PM
AKT: 6:00 PM
HST: 4:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Loyola Marymount 72% / Stony Brook 28%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Loyola Marymount 65% / Stony Brook 35%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at -8.5, moved to -9.5 on early home money despite public lean; stabilized as of late afternoon.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Loyola Marymount spread; implied probability undervalues simulation outcomes, with no reverse line movement but positive EV from efficiency matchups.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Loyola Marymount | 78.5% |
| Win % for Stony Brook | 20.5% |
| Spread Cover % for Loyola Marymount | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 135.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5.2, 24.1] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Loyola Marymount, aligning with money distribution and sharp indicators, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. The matchup points to a controlled game where Loyola Marymount’s defensive rebounding and Stony Brook’s turnover issues cap scoring potential, favoring unders overall. No significant reverse line movement or contrarian edges emerge, reinforcing consensus value on the home side.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Loyola Marymount / No clear edge]

Highlights unavailable.