NHL
Boston Bruins vs 
Detroit Red Wings
League: NHL | Date: 2025-11-29 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-29 12:10 PM EST
Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings on 2025-11-29
💰 Best Bet #1 Bruins / Puckline +1.5 at -165 / 70% Confidence / Simulation covers 69%, home defensive metrics hold vs DET offense, line stable despite away favorite status
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total 6.5 at -110 / 55% Confidence / Flipped per NHL logic from sim Under edge (52%), avg goals 6.1 with recent trends supporting goals despite defensive matchup
💰 Best Bet #3 Bruins / Moneyline +119 / 52% Confidence / Even sim win % (50%) undervalues BOS home-ice and recent form vs DET road struggles
Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM
💸 Public Bets
Bruins 48% / Red Wings 52%
💰 Money Distribution
Bruins 42% / Red Wings 58%
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Puckline steady at DET -1.5 (+140) / BOS +1.5 (-165); ML opened DET -135, moved to -142 on sharp action
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Boston Bruins | 50% |
| Win % for Detroit Red Wings | 50% |
| Spread Cover % for Boston Bruins | 69% (+1.5 puckline) |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Goals | 6.1 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.0, 2.0] |
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on BOS +1.5; sim convergence with RLM outweighs public fade potential, positive EV from home D vs DET offense
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public slightly favors Red Wings but money leans heavier DET amid line stability, suggesting sharp alignment on away side yet sim favors BOS cover value. Fade potential on public ML exists but EV strongest on puckline with home metrics. Game projects moderate scoring around 6.1 goals, flipped Over edge per NHL historicals despite defensive tilts.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Bruins +1.5 — sim and EV confirm cover probability despite ML favoritism.
Highlights unavailable.