Quinnipiac vs Stonehill

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-30 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-30 10:57 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Quinnipiac / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 57% / Simulation cover probability exceeds implied odds by 4.4%, supported by superior efficiency ratings and recent form convergence
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 52% / Average simulated total of 142.1 falls below line, driven by defensive rebounding edges and moderate tempo matchup
💰 Best Bet #3 Quinnipiac / Moneyline / -235 / 61% / 61.2% win probability from 10k sims outpaces implied, factoring home-court and injury-free projections

NCAAB Matchup: Quinnipiac vs Stonehill on 2025-11-30

Game Times
ET: 02:00 PM
CT: 01:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 08:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Quinnipiac 68% / Stonehill 32%

💰 Money Distribution
Quinnipiac 62% / Stonehill 38%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -5.5; opened -5 and held firm despite moderate public action on favorite

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Quinnipiac | 61.2% |
| Win % for Stonehill | 38.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Quinnipiac (-5.5) | 56.8% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.3% / Under: 51.7% |
| Average Total Points | 142.1 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.4, 23.1] |

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Quinnipiac spread (cover prob exceeds implied by 4.4%; positive EV from sim convergence)

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward the favorite Quinnipiac, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes where efficiency metrics favor the Bobcats. Defensive rebounding and tempo control suggest a lower-scoring affair, supporting the under. Follow aligns with math as no reverse line movement or injury disruptions invalidate the edge.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Quinnipiac — highest probability from market consensus and sim data.

Highlights unavailable.