Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets

League: NBA | Date: 2025-12-01 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-01 06:58 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Brooklyn Nets / +5 / -110 / 60% / Simulation shows 58% cover probability exceeding implied odds, supported by divergent money distribution favoring Nets despite heavy public on Hornets.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 224.5 / -110 / 55% / Average simulated total of 224 falls below line, with key injuries to scorers on both sides (Cam Thomas out for Nets, multiple Hornets out) limiting offense.
💰 Best Bet #3 Charlotte Hornets / Moneyline / -115 / 54% / Slight 52% win probability edge in simulations aligns with market favoritism amid Nets’ injuries.

Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets on 2025-12-01

Game Times
ET: 07:30 PM
CT: 06:30 PM
MT: 05:30 PM
PT: 04:30 PM
AKT: 03:30 PM
HST: 01:30 PM

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Brooklyn Nets | 48% |
| Win % for Charlotte Hornets | 52% |
| Spread Cover % for Brooklyn Nets (+5) | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 224 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-19, 17] |

💸 Public Bets
65% Charlotte Hornets / 35% Brooklyn Nets

💰 Money Distribution
45% Charlotte Hornets / 55% Brooklyn Nets

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Hornets -4.5, moved to -5 despite public lean on Charlotte; slight sharp action on Nets cover.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% EV on Nets +5 (public fade supported by money %, sim cover rate exceeds implied 52.4% odds probability).

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily favors the Hornets at 65%, but money distribution leans Nets at 55%, creating divergence that signals potential sharp action on the home underdog. Simulations and line movement support fading the public on the Nets +5 cover, with injuries depleting both offenses for a lower-scoring affair. Overall game outlook points to under, given average total of 224 and defensive edges amid absences like Cam Thomas and multiple Hornets role players.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Brooklyn Nets — Mathematical probability favors the Nets cover with positive EV confirmed by sims, money flow, and RLM.

Highlights unavailable.