Villanova vs Temple

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-01 06:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-01 11:15 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Villanova / Spread / -14.5 at -110 / 62% / Simulation covers 62.4% with strong home efficiency edge and Temple’s defensive struggles in current season matchups

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 52% / Avg simulated total 150.2 but distribution favors under at 51.9% given moderate tempos and rebounding rates

💰 Best Bet #3 Villanova / Moneyline / -733 / 88% / 88.2% win probability from Monte Carlo aligns with recent form and rivalry dominance

🏀 Matchup: Villanova vs Temple on 2025-12-01

Game Times
ET: 6:30 PM
CT: 5:30 PM
MT: 4:30 PM
PT: 3:30 PM
AKT: 2:30 PM
HST: 12:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
Villanova 78% / Temple 22%

💰 Money Distribution
Villanova 72% / Temple 28%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Spread opened around -13.5, moved to -14.5 on Villanova side amid steady action; total steady at 148.5

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Villanova spread (62% cover vs. -110 implied 52.4%); positive edges across top bets from sim convergence

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Villanova | 88.2% |
| Win % for Temple | 11.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Villanova -14.5 | 62.4% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over 148.5: 48.1% / Under: 51.9% |
| Average Total Points | 150.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-4.2, 35.8] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Villanova, aligning with money distribution and line movement toward the home favorite, indicating sharp consensus rather than a fade opportunity. Temple’s recent form shows vulnerabilities against efficient offenses like Villanova’s adjusted efficiency ratings. Game projects as moderately paced with slight under lean due to defensive rebounding edges.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Villanova — sim and market data confirm highest probability on home side.

Highlights unavailable.