Mercer vs Georgia State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-02 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-02 10:19 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Mercer / Spread / -11.5 at -110 / 62% / Mercer dominates at home against weak Georgia State offense (3rd-worst 2P% nationally), covering in 21-4 home fav spots

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 153.5 at -110 / 58% / Both teams low-efficiency; Mercer home unders hit 21-4 in similar totals averaging 137.9 points

💰 Best Bet #3 Mercer / Moneyline / -650 / 75% / Strong home edge, Georgia State fade train rolling with brutal offense

Mercer vs Georgia State on 2025-12-02

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Mercer | 75% |
| Win % for Georgia State | 25% |
| Spread Cover % for Mercer (-11.5) | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 42% / Under: 58% |
| Average Total Points | 145.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [+5, +18] |

💸 Public Bets
Mercer 72% / Georgia State 28%

💰 Money Distribution
Mercer 68% / Georgia State 32%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -11.5 after opening -11; slight sharp money on Mercer despite public lean

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Mercer spread; public alignment with money % supports favorite, Georgia State poor metrics justify edge

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Mercer spread amid Georgia State’s offensive struggles (bottom-tier 2P% and 3P%). Follow public optimal here as metrics confirm value. Game projects low-scoring with strong defensive showings and historical unders in Mercer’s home favorites.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Mercer — highest probability backed by sim, form, and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.