Radford vs Southern Miss

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-03 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-03 09:53 AM EST

Radford vs Southern Miss on 2025-12-03

💰 Best Bet #1 Radford / Spread / -2.5 at -110 / 58% / Radford shows value despite 2-5 ATS start per sharp picks, home edge and Southern Miss defensive weaknesses support cover.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams moderate tempo, Radford’s recent unders trend with avg totals under line, defensive efficiencies favor low-scoring affair.

💰 Best Bet #3 Radford / Moneyline / -145 / 62% / Simulation and handicapper consensus highlight Radford’s undervalued edge over struggling Southern Miss.

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Radford 45% / Southern Miss 55%

💰 Money Distribution
Radford 60% / Southern Miss 40%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Opened -2, moved to -3 briefly on sharp action before settling -2.5; against public on dog.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Radford | 62.0% |
| Win % for Southern Miss | 38.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Radford (-2.5) | 58.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 144.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-9.8, 14.7] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster and injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public leans Southern Miss as underdog, but money disparity and reverse line movement to Radford signal sharp action on favorite. Math favors following pros here with positive EV on spread from sim convergence. Game projects moderate scoring with unders hitting in 52% of sims based on tempo and defensive metrics.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Southern Miss — Radford holds mathematical edge per sim, sharp money, and value despite ATS skid.

Highlights unavailable.