Elon vs Furman

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-03 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-03 10:29 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Elon / +3.5 at -110 / 58% / Home-court advantage boosts Elon’s cover probability amid efficiency edges in 3P% and eFG%, with line movement favoring underdog

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / 151.5 at -110 / 62% / Both teams exhibit high tempo and strong 2-point shooting (Furman top-8% nationally), projecting average total above line despite moderate defensive ratings

💰 Best Bet #3 Elon / Moneyline at +140 / 45% / Value on home underdog with superior FT% and shot volume, contrarian to public lean on Furman

Elon vs Furman on 2025-12-03

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Furman 65% / Elon 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Furman 55% / Elon 45%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Opened Furman -4.5, moved to -2.5 to -3.5 amid sharp action on Elon side per recent posts on X and trends data

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Elon spread / +3.8% over total — Divergent money split with RLM toward home dog signals value, supported by Elon’s home splits and Furman’s road FT struggles

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Elon | 46% |
| Win % for Furman | 54% |
| Spread Cover % for Elon (+3.5) | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 62% / Under: 38% |
| Average Total Points | 155.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.2, +4.1] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public leans Furman but money distribution and line movement toward Elon indicate sharp divergence, favoring a fade of the public on the spread. Game projects moderately high-scoring with both offenses efficient inside arc and Elon’s perimeter edges pushing totals over. Contextual factors like no major reported injuries and home rest for Elon enhance underdog cover likelihood.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Elon — Mathematical convergence on home cover with positive EV outweighs public percentage.

Highlights unavailable.