High Point vs Southern Illinois

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-03 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-03 10:43 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 High Point / Spread / -11.5 at -110 / 62% / High Point’s strong home form (7-1) and superior efficiency ratings support covering against SIU’s average defense.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 161.5 at -110 / 58% / Both teams play high-tempo offense with High Point at 58.2% eFG%; recent trends favor combined scoring above line.

💰 Best Bet #3 High Point / Moneyline / -450 / 78% / Dominant home favorite backed by simulation win probability and market consensus.

High Point vs Southern Illinois on 2025-12-03

Game Times
ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
High Point 72% / Southern Illinois 28%

💰 Money Distribution
High Point 68% / Southern Illinois 32%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at High Point -11.5 after opening -10; slight shift toward favorite despite public action.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on High Point spread; convergence of efficiency metrics, home advantage, and RLM supports value.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for High Point | 78.2% |
| Win % for Southern Illinois | 20.3% |
| Spread Cover % for High Point (-11.5) | 61.8% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 57.4% / Under: 42.6% |
| Average Total Points | 156.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.2, 29.1] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on High Point, supported by their 7-1 record and high-efficiency offense against SIU’s middling defense. Follow the favorite as metrics and simulations confirm edge without contrarian signals. Game projects moderately high-scoring with both teams pushing pace.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with High Point — highest mathematical probability backed by 78% sim win rate and positive EV.

Highlights unavailable.