NCAAB

Washington vs UCLA

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-03 11:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-03 11:39 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 UCLA / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 62% / UCLA holds strong home advantage at Pauley Pavilion in Big Ten opener, superior adjusted efficiency edges Washington early season

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 139.5 at -110 / 58% / Both squads exhibit low-tempo play and solid defensive rebounding in current season games, projecting controlled scoring pace

💰 Best Bet #3 UCLA / Moneyline / -165 / 64% / Consensus metrics favor Bruins with better recent form and matchup history

🏀 Washington vs UCLA on 2025-12-03

Game Times
ET: 11:00 PM
CT: 10:00 PM
MT: 9:00 PM
PT: 8:00 PM
AKT: 7:00 PM
HST: 5:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
UCLA 68% / Washington 32%

💰 Money Distribution
UCLA 72% / Washington 28%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Opened UCLA -2.5, moved to -3.5 amid steady action on home team despite public lean

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on UCLA spread — implied prob undervalues true win/cover probability from efficiency and home splits

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Washington | 38.0% |
| Win % for UCLA | 62.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Washington (-3.5) | 42.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 137.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-9.2, 4.1] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors UCLA, aligning with money distribution and line movement toward the home favorite, indicating no sharp resistance. Follow optimal as metrics confirm edge without contrarian signals. Game outlook leans low-scoring given defensive emphases and early-season adjustments in current 2025 play.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with UCLA — highest mathematical probability backed by sim convergence, home court, and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.