NBA
Washington Wizards vs 
Boston Celtics
League: NBA | Date: 2025-12-04 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-04 09:55 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Boston Celtics / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 60% / Simulation shows 60% cover rate with Celtics dominating poor Wizards defense, line movement supports heavier favoritism amid public action.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 230.5 at -110 / 55% / Average simulated total 225.2 points, Wizards low-scoring offense (3-17 record) and Celtics potentially shorthanded limit scoring despite pace.
💰 Best Bet #3 Boston Celtics / Moneyline / -450 / 78% / 78% win probability in sim, backed by 12-9 record vs Wizards 3-17, even with potential injuries.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Washington Wizards | 22% |
| Win % for Boston Celtics | 78% |
| Spread Cover % for Washington Wizards +9.5 | 40% |
| Spread Cover % for Boston Celtics -9.5 | 60% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over 230.5: 45% / Under: 55% |
| Average Total Points | 225.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15, +5] (Celtics favored) |
🏀 Matchup: Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics on 2025-12-04
Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM
💸 Public Bets
Celtics 75% / Wizards 25%
💰 Money Distribution
Celtics 67% / Wizards 33%
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Moved from -8.5 to -9.5 toward Celtics amid heavy public and money action.
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% EV on Celtics -9.5; sim convergence with market data shows value despite Wizards’ recent scrap wins.
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Celtics on spread alongside majority money, with line movement confirming alignment—no sharp resistance evident. Follow public optimal as sim and records (Celtics 12-9, Wizards 3-17) support dominance. Game projects low-scoring with Wizards’ poor offense and potential Celtics key absences capping totals.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Boston Celtics — highest probability backed by sim, trends, and market consensus.
Highlights unavailable.