Columbus Blue Jackets vs Detroit Red Wings

League: NHL | Date: 2025-12-04 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-04 10:12 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Columbus Blue Jackets / Puck Line / +1.5 at -112 / 68% confidence
Divergent money on home underdog (58%) counters public DET lean (62%), sim shows 68% cover rate with low DET blowout probability.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 6.5 at -110 / 52% confidence
Sim average 5.8 goals suggests Under edge, flipped per NHL historical performance; recent trends and previews indicate potential for goals despite defensive matchup.

💰 Best Bet #3 Detroit Red Wings / Moneyline / -125 / 56% confidence
Road team edges win probability in sims, supported by better record (14-11-2 vs 12-9-5) and steady line amid public favoritism.

🏒 Matchup: Columbus Blue Jackets vs Detroit Red Wings on 2025-12-04

Game Times
ET: 7:30 PM
CT: 6:30 PM
MT: 5:30 PM
PT: 4:30 PM
AKT: 3:30 PM
HST: 1:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
CBJ 38% / DET 62%

💰 Money Distribution
CBJ 58% / DET 42%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Puck line steady at CBJ +1.5 despite public lean to DET; total holds 6.5 with slight Under steam per previews on Sportsbook Wire and FOX Sports.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Columbus Blue Jackets | 44% |
| Win % for Detroit Red Wings | 56% |
| Spread Cover % for Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5 | 68% |
| Spread Cover % for Detroit Red Wings -1.5 | 32% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over 6.5: 48% / Under 6.5: 52% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.1, +1.8] |

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+4% on CBJ +1.5] — High cover probability converges with low DET blowout rate in sims despite public lean.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Detroit (62%), but money distribution tilts to Columbus (58%), creating divergence that aligns with sim cover rates and reverse line movement signals. Fade the public on the puck line as CBJ +1.5 offers value with strong non-blowout probability. Game projects low-scoring based on 5.8 average goals, defensive metrics, and slight Under steam, though flipped recommendation eyes Over edge.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on DET — CBJ +1.5 carries the best mathematical probability with sim-backed cover and money support.

Highlights unavailable.