Missouri vs Kansas

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-07 01:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-04 09:00 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Missouri / +1.5 / -110 / 58% / Analytics converge on Missouri edge of 1.6 points while line holds steady, creating value against short favorite
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 149.5 / -110 / 55% / Projected average total of 148.9 from multiple models, supported by recent defensive efficiencies and slower tempo matchup
💰 Best Bet #3 Kansas / -120 / 52% / Home team slight projection edge in win probability despite public fade potential

Missouri vs Kansas on 2025-12-07

Game Times
ET: 1:00 PM
CT: 12:00 PM
MT: 11:00 AM
PT: 10:00 AM
AKT: 9:00 AM
HST: 7:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Kansas 68% / Missouri 32%

💰 Money Distribution
Kansas 52% / Missouri 48%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Opened Kansas -2.5, moved to -1.5 on sharp action toward underdog despite public favoritism

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Missouri spread – RLM against public %, model projections favor Missouri cover, positive EV confirmed by convergence of KenPom/Torvik/Haslam

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Missouri | 51% |
| Win % for Kansas | 49% |
| Spread Cover % for Missouri (+1.5) | 59% |
| Spread Cover % for Kansas (-1.5) | 41% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 147.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-11.2, +9.8] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans heavily toward Kansas on the spread, but divergent money distribution and reverse line movement indicate sharp action on Missouri, aligning with advanced metrics projecting a narrow Missouri advantage. Follow sharp indicators over public fade here. Overall game scoring outlook points low with sub-150 total projection from offensive/defensive efficiencies and recent form.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Missouri — Highest mathematical probability supported by sims, RLM, and model consensus.

Highlights unavailable.