Fordham vs Holy Cross

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-06 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-06 10:36 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Fordham / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 60% / Fordham’s strong 6-3 record and home advantage against a road-struggling Holy Cross (3-6, five-game road skid) support covering the spread, with simulation showing 58% cover rate.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 139 at -110 / 55% / Both teams’ defensive metrics and recent low-scoring trends favor a lower-output game, aligning with 55% under probability despite average simulation total of 150.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Fordham / Moneyline / -450 / 75% / Fordham’s superior form and home edge give them a clear path to victory, backed by 75% win probability in simulations.]

Fordham vs Holy Cross on 2025-12-06

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[Fordham 70% / Holy Cross 30%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Fordham 65% / Holy Cross 35%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

[Line opened at -8.5 and moved to -9.5 with balanced action, no significant RLM indicating sharp resistance.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Fordham spread; EV positive due to home team’s efficiency edge and Holy Cross’s poor road ATS record (1-4), with simulations confirming value.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Fordham | 75.0% |
| Win % for Holy Cross | 25.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Fordham | 58.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 45% / Under: 55% |
| Average Total Points | 150.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5.0, 25.0] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Fordham as the favorite, aligning with sharp money distribution and no reverse line movement, making following the favorite optimal rather than fading. Fordham’s offensive efficiency (top-150 in adjusted rating) faces a Holy Cross defense allowing 78 points per game on the road, but overall matchup projects moderate scoring with under favored by defensive rebounding edges. No major injuries reported, supporting stable lineups.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Fordham] — mathematical probability favors the home team based on form, simulations, and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.