Butler vs Boise State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-06 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-06 10:39 AM EST

Butler vs Boise State on 2025-12-06

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💰 Best Bet #1 [Butler / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 56% / Butler’s home advantage and superior efficiency ratings support covering, with recent form showing strong defensive rebounding against similar mid-major opponents.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 147.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempos and solid defensive metrics, with Butler allowing under 70 points per game at home and Boise State’s road offense struggling in efficiency.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Butler / Moneyline / -190 / 64% / Simulation and adjusted efficiency favor Butler’s win probability, bolstered by key players like Finley Bizjack in form and home-court edge.]

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Butler | 64% |
| Win % for Boise State | 36% |
| Spread Cover % for Butler (-4.5) | 56% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 145.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.2, +2.1] |

💸 Public Bets
[55% Butler / 45% Boise State]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% Butler / 40% Boise State]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line moved from -5.5 to -4.5 for Butler despite moderate public interest on the favorite, indicating some sharp action stabilizing the spread; total dropped from 149.5 to 147.5 on defensive expectations.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Butler spread / Line movement and simulation convergence suggest value against implied odds, with home efficiency edge outweighing Boise State’s 5-3 record.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans slightly toward Butler, aligning with money distribution and sharp indicators from line stabilization, making following the favorite optimal rather than fading. Contextual factors like Butler’s home defensive strength and Boise State’s road challenges support this without contrarian edges. Overall game scoring outlook points to a controlled pace, with combined offensive ratings suggesting a sub-148 total based on recent trends and matchup defenses.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Butler] — mathematical probability favors the home team covering and winning outright.

Highlights unavailable.