Arizona State vs Oklahoma

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-06 10:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-06 03:40 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Arizona State / Spread / +2.5 at -110 / 55% / Simulation indicates strong cover probability due to balanced matchup and recent defensive trends for both teams]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 52% / Combined recent games show averages below the line, with adjusted efficiencies suggesting controlled pace]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Oklahoma / Moneyline / -140 / 53% / Slight edge from offensive rating and form, despite neutral site]

Arizona State vs Oklahoma on 2025-12-06

Game Times
ET: 10:00 PM
CT: 9:00 PM
MT: 8:00 PM
PT: 7:00 PM
AKT: 6:00 PM
HST: 4:00 PM

Public Bets
[Arizona State 35% / Oklahoma 65%]

Money Distribution
[Arizona State 45% / Oklahoma 55%]

Market Alignment
[Aligned]

Line Movement
[Stable at Oklahoma -2.5, no significant shifts despite public lean toward favorite]

Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2% on Arizona State +2.5; implied probability undervalues simulation cover rate with contextual adjustments for form and tempo]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Arizona State | 48% |
| Win % for Oklahoma | 52% |
| Spread Cover % for Arizona State (+2.5) | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 163 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15, 15] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Oklahoma, aligning with money distribution and stable lines, suggesting market consensus without sharp resistance. Following the public on the favorite holds value, but the mathematical edge favors Arizona State on the spread due to simulation convergence and recent defensive metrics. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with both teams’ efficiencies indicating potential for underachievement against the line based on pace and opponent strengths.

Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Oklahoma] — supported by win probability and EV alignment in a closely contested matchup.

Highlights unavailable.