North Carolina vs Georgetown

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-07 05:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-07 09:34 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 North Carolina / Spread / -11.5 at -110 / 60% / North Carolina’s dominant home performance and superior efficiency ratings give them a strong edge to cover against a Georgetown team struggling on the road in the current season.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 155.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams exhibit solid defensive metrics with low points allowed per game and recent trends showing unders in similar matchups, factoring in pace and injury impacts.
💰 Best Bet #3 North Carolina / Moneyline / -700 / 78% / As the ranked home favorite with a 7-1 record, North Carolina holds a clear advantage over 6-2 Georgetown based on advanced stats and form.

North Carolina vs Georgetown on 2025-12-07

Game Times

ET: 05:00 PM
CT: 04:00 PM
MT: 03:00 PM
PT: 02:00 PM
AKT: 01:00 PM
HST: 11:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

North Carolina 75% / Georgetown 25%

💰 Money Distribution

North Carolina 60% / Georgetown 40%

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -10.5 and moved to -11.5 with balanced action, indicating stability and no major sharp resistance.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+3% on North Carolina spread due to implied probability of 52% versus model’s 60% estimate, supported by home-field advantage and recent form.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for North Carolina | 78% |
| Win % for Georgetown | 22% |
| Spread Cover % for North Carolina | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 152 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [5, 25] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors North Carolina, aligning with money distribution and sharp indicators, making following the favorite optimal in this matchup. Both teams’ defensive efficiencies suggest a controlled pace with potential for a lower-scoring affair than the total implies. Overall, the data points to North Carolina controlling the game without excessive scoring.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with North Carolina — the mathematical probability favors the home team based on current season metrics and simulation outcomes.

Highlights unavailable.