Wichita State vs DePaul

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 12:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 10:51 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Wichita State / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 55% / Wichita State’s home efficiency and DePaul’s weak road performance create a clear edge, with simulation showing 55% cover rate exceeding the implied probability.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 140 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ recent tempos suggest a pace favoring points, with average simulated total of 142 surpassing the line amid moderate defensive vulnerabilities.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Wichita State / Moneyline / -250 / 68% / Strong home win probability from metrics like adjusted efficiency ratings supports backing the Shockers against an underperforming DePaul squad.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Wichita State | 68% |
| Win % for DePaul | 32% |
| Spread Cover % for Wichita State | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2, 15] |

🏀 Matchup: Wichita State vs DePaul on 2025-12-13

Game Times
ET: 12:00 PM
CT: 11:00 AM
MT: 10:00 AM
PT: 9:00 AM
AKT: 8:00 AM
HST: 6:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
65% / 35%

💰 Money Distribution
55% / 45%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -5 for Wichita State and moved to -5.5 amid balanced action, indicating steady support for the home team without significant sharp reversal.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Wichita State spread; simulation probabilities exceed implied odds, supported by home efficiency and DePaul’s poor away metrics.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Wichita State, aligning with money distribution and line stability, suggesting no strong fade opportunity as sharp action appears supportive. The matchup favors a moderate-scoring affair, with offensive efficiencies pointing to a slight over lean but defenses capable of keeping totals in check. Overall, following the consensus on the home side optimizes EV based on current form and venue advantage.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Wichita State — simulation and market data confirm the highest probability for a home victory.

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