St. Louis Blues vs Winnipeg Jets

League: NHL | Date: 2025-12-17 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-17 10:17 AM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [St. Louis Blues / Puck Line / -1.5 at +140 / 55% / Blues hold a strong home edge at Enterprise Center (7-5-2 record), with Jets struggling on the road (6-9-1); simulation shows 52% cover rate amid Blues’ depth despite injuries.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 5.5 at -110 / 52% / Flipped recommendation per NHL trends: Data leans under due to both teams’ defensive metrics (Blues allow 2.8 GA/game, Jets 2.6), but historical performance favors over in similar matchups with average total of 5.3 goals.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [St. Louis Blues / Moneyline / -120 / 55% / Blues’ recent form (3-2 in last 5 home games) and simulation win probability undervalued against Jets’ inconsistencies (15-15-2 overall).]

St. Louis Blues vs Winnipeg Jets on 2025-12-17

Game Times
ET: 8:00 PM
CT: 7:00 PM
MT: 6:00 PM
PT: 5:00 PM
AKT: 4:00 PM
HST: 2:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[62% / 38%]

💰 Money Distribution
[58% / 42%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Blues -115 ML and held steady to -120 amid moderate volume, with no significant RLM; total steady at 5.5 despite early sharp interest on over.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Blues puck line] — Implied probability undervalues Blues’ home metrics (7-5-2 at Enterprise Center) versus Jets’ road woes, with simulation convergence supporting edge after adjusting for injuries.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for St. Louis Blues | 55% |
| Win % for Winnipeg Jets | 45% |
| Spread Cover % for St. Louis Blues | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.0, 3.0] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward the Blues on the moneyline, aligning with sharp money distribution and no reverse line movement, making following the favorite the optimal play based on home advantage and simulation edges. Both teams exhibit solid defensive structures (Blues PK at 82%, Jets at 80%), suggesting a controlled, mid-scoring affair around 5.3 goals total, though flipped NHL trends favor the over for value. Injuries to key Blues forwards add uncertainty but do not erode the overall home edge.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with St. Louis Blues] — Mathematical probability favors the home team at 55% win rate, supported by aligned market data and contextual home strength.

Highlights unavailable.