Vermont vs Siena

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-17 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-17 10:48 AM EST

Vermont vs Siena on 2025-12-17

💰 Best Bet #1 [Vermont / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 58% / Vermont’s strong home efficiency and Siena’s road struggles create a clear edge, supported by recent form and simulation cover rate.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 152.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams show moderate tempo with defensive rebounding weaknesses, leading to slightly higher scoring trends in matchups like this.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Vermont / Moneyline / -250 / 65% / Home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency give Vermont a dominant win probability per simulations.]

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Vermont 70% / Siena 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Vermont 60% / Siena 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at -6 and steadied at -5.5 with balanced action, no significant sharp resistance noted.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2.5% on Vermont spread due to home splits and Siena’s turnover rate exceeding 18% on the road.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Vermont | 65% |
| Win % for Siena | 35% |
| Spread Cover % for Vermont | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 152 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 25] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Vermont, aligning with money distribution and sharp indicators from line stability, making a follow strategy optimal without contrarian value. Siena’s recent form shows vulnerability on the road, but Vermont’s home defense limits explosive plays. Overall scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with offenses capable of pushing past 152 in a paced game but defenses anchoring below explosive thresholds.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Vermont] — mathematical probability favors the home team based on efficiency metrics and simulation outcomes.

Highlights unavailable.