East Carolina vs Presbyterian

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-17 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-17 10:51 AM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 East Carolina / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 58% / East Carolina’s strong home form (3-2 at Minges Coliseum) and superior adjusted efficiency ratings give them an edge, with simulation showing 55% cover probability adjusted for recent trends.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams play at a moderate tempo, with East Carolina’s offense ranking in the top 150 for points per game and Presbyterian allowing high totals on the road, aligning with 52% over probability from sim.

💰 Best Bet #3 East Carolina / Moneyline / -240 / 72% / Home advantage and better overall roster depth make East Carolina the clear favorite, matching the 72% win probability from Monte Carlo runs.

East Carolina vs Presbyterian on 2025-12-17

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

East Carolina 68% / Presbyterian 32%

💰 Money Distribution

East Carolina 62% / Presbyterian 38%

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -5 and held steady at -5.5 despite moderate public action on the favorite, indicating sharp stability on East Carolina.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+3.2% on East Carolina spread; implied probability undervalues their home efficiency and Presbyterian’s road defensive struggles in current season metrics.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for East Carolina | 72% |
| Win % for Presbyterian | 28% |
| Spread Cover % for East Carolina | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 141 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 22] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward East Carolina, aligning with sharp money distribution and no significant reverse line movement, making following the favorite optimal based on home advantage and simulation edges. Presbyterian’s recent road games show vulnerability to higher-scoring outputs, suggesting a moderate-paced game likely exceeding the total. Overall, East Carolina’s defensive rebounding and tempo control the matchup without major injury disruptions.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with East Carolina — simulation and market consensus point to their 72% win probability as the strongest mathematical outcome.

Highlights unavailable.