San Francisco vs Loyola Chicago

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-17 10:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-17 11:08 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [San Francisco / Spread / -8.5 at -110 / 65% / San Francisco’s strong adjusted offensive efficiency (112.5) against Loyola’s average defense, combined with home advantage at Chase Center, supports covering the spread.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 145.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempos (71.8 for SF, 69.5 for Loyola) and above-average offensive ratings, suggesting a combined total exceeding the line despite solid defenses.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [San Francisco / Moneyline / -400 / 72% / San Francisco’s recent form (9-2, with wins over quality opponents) and superior metrics give them a clear edge over a Loyola team coming off a recent loss.]

San Francisco vs Loyola Chicago on 2025-12-17

Game Times
ET: 10:00 PM
CT: 9:00 PM
MT: 8:00 PM
PT: 7:00 PM
AKT: 6:00 PM
HST: 4:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[65% / 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[75% / 25%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -9 for San Francisco and has moved to -8.5 despite heavy public action on the favorite, indicating some sharp support for the underdog but overall stability.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+4% on San Francisco spread; implied probability of 52.4% from odds vs. 65% model estimate, driven by efficiency differentials and home-field metrics.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for San Francisco | 72.0% |
| Win % for Loyola Chicago | 26.0% |
| Spread Cover % for San Francisco | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Points | 148.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10.5, 28.3] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors San Francisco, aligning with sharp money distribution and line stability, making following the public the optimal approach backed by mathematical edges in efficiency and form. Loyola’s recent undefeated streak ended abruptly, exposing defensive vulnerabilities that San Francisco’s offense can exploit. The game projects as moderately high-scoring, with both teams’ tempos and ratings pointing to an over-leaning total without extreme variance.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with San Francisco / No clear edge] — San Francisco holds the highest mathematical probability of winning based on current season metrics and matchup dynamics.

Highlights unavailable.