William & Mary vs Radford

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-18 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-18 11:03 AM EST

William & Mary vs Radford on 2025-12-18

💰 Best Bet #1 William & Mary / Spread / -7.5 at -110 / 58% / William & Mary has dominated recent matchups and holds a strong home advantage, with superior efficiency ratings and Radford struggling on the road; line movement supports the favorite despite public lean.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams rank below average in pace and scoring efficiency this season, with defensive rebounding edges favoring a lower-output game; recent trends show unders hitting in 60% of similar low-tempo contests.

💰 Best Bet #3 William & Mary / Moneyline / -350 / 72% / Home team boasts a 72% win probability from simulations, backed by better adjusted offensive efficiency and Radford’s poor away record against comparable opponents.

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

William & Mary 68% / Radford 32%

💰 Money Distribution

William & Mary 62% / Radford 38%

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

Opened at -6.5 for William & Mary, moved to -7.5 amid steady public action but no significant sharp resistance; total steady at 142.5.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+3.2% on William & Mary spread; implied probability undervalues home team’s edge in efficiency and recent form, with simulations confirming cover value.

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for William & Mary | 72% |
| Win % for Radford | 28% |
| Spread Cover % for William & Mary | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5, 20] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on the home favorite, making following William & Mary the optimal approach without need for a fade; no major RLM or disparities suggest contrarian value elsewhere. Overall game scoring outlook points to a controlled pace, with both defenses limiting explosive plays and favoring the under based on current season offensive ratings around 68 points per game allowed.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with William & Mary — simulations and market consensus highlight the home team’s superior metrics for a likely victory.

Highlights unavailable.