High Point vs La Salle

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-19 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-19 10:43 AM EST

High Point vs La Salle on 2025-12-19

💰 Best Bet #1 High Point / Spread / -13.5 at -110 / 65% / High Point’s strong home form and La Salle’s poor road record create a clear edge, supported by recent trends and simulation cover probability.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams show moderate offensive efficiency in recent games, with High Point’s pace pushing toward higher totals despite defensive efforts.

💰 Best Bet #3 High Point / Moneyline / -800 / 85% / Dominant win probability from metrics and home advantage makes the favorite a solid play against a struggling La Salle squad.

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
High Point 75% / La Salle 25%

💰 Money Distribution
High Point 65% / La Salle 35%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -12.5 and moved to -13.5 with balanced action, indicating stability despite public lean toward the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on High Point spread; simulation and form metrics show value against implied odds, with no major RLM to fade.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for High Point | 85.0% |
| Win % for La Salle | 12.0% |
| Spread Cover % for High Point | 60.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 148.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [5.0, 25.0] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on High Point, as both percentages and line stability confirm the favorite’s value without contrarian signals. Following the public is optimal here, backed by High Point’s superior efficiency and La Salle’s injury-disrupted lineup. The game outlook leans toward moderate scoring, with offenses capable of pushing over but defenses holding firm in key moments.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with High Point — strong metrics and home edge provide the best probability of success.

Highlights unavailable.