Georgetown vs Coppin State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-22 06:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-22 09:21 AM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 Georgetown / Spread / -30.5 at -110 / 72% / Georgetown’s superior adjusted efficiency ratings and Coppin State’s poor defensive rebounding create a strong cover probability, supported by home advantage and recent form mismatches.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 58% / Both teams exhibit below-average tempos and Coppin State’s low offensive efficiency against strong defenses suggest a controlled, lower-scoring affair despite Georgetown’s scoring potential.

💰 Best Bet #3 Georgetown / Moneyline / -10000 at -110 / 98% / Overwhelming win probability driven by talent disparity, home court, and Coppin State’s struggles in non-conference play this season.

🏀 Matchup: Georgetown vs Coppin State on 2025-12-22

Game Times

ET: 6:30 PM
CT: 5:30 PM
MT: 4:30 PM
PT: 3:30 PM
AKT: 2:30 PM
HST: 12:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

[95% / 5%]

💰 Money Distribution

[92% / 8%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -29.5 and moved to -30.5 with balanced action, indicating stability despite heavy public favoritism toward Georgetown.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+4.2% on Georgetown spread / Reasoning: Implied probability of -30.5 cover at 52.4%, but simulation estimates 72.5%, creating positive EV from mismatch in defensive efficiencies and Coppin State’s turnover-prone offense this season.]

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Georgetown | 98.2% |
| Win % for Coppin State | 1.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Georgetown | 72.5% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 42% / Under: 58% |
| Average Total Points | 148.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [22.1, 35.4] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Georgetown, aligning with sharp money distribution and stable line movement, making a follow-the-public approach optimal on the favorite without contrarian value. The matchup points to a dominant home win, but defensive metrics from both sides—Georgetown’s solid perimeter D and Coppin State’s inefficiency—support a lower total than the line implies. Overall game scoring outlook leans under, with expected emphasis on Georgetown’s controlled pace against a weaker opponent.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Georgetown / No clear edge]

Highlights unavailable.