Colgate vs Harvard

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-28 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-28 10:42 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Harvard / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 58% / Harvard’s superior efficiency ratings and recent form give them a clear edge, with simulation showing 55% cover probability against Colgate’s weaker defense.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams exhibit low-tempo play and strong defensive rebounding, aligning with a projected average of 136 points and historical unders in similar matchups.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Harvard / Moneyline / -220 / 65% / Harvard’s home advantage and deeper roster outweigh Colgate’s road struggles, supported by 65% win probability from advanced metrics.]

Colgate vs Harvard on 2025-12-28

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[35% Colgate / 65% Harvard]

💰 Money Distribution
[40% Colgate / 60% Harvard]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at Harvard -4.5, moved to -5.5 with balanced action; no significant RLM observed]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Harvard spread; consensus from efficiency metrics and simulation exceeds implied odds probability]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Colgate | 35% |
| Win % for Harvard | 65% |
| Spread Cover % for Colgate | 45% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 136 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 0] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Harvard, aligning with sharp money indicators and mathematical projections from adjusted efficiency and tempo data. Following the public on Harvard optimizes EV, as contrarian factors like RLM are absent and recent form supports the favorite. The game outlook favors a controlled pace with unders likely due to both teams’ top-150 defensive ratings and low turnover-forcing matchups.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Harvard / No clear edge] — Harvard holds the strongest probability across spread, total, and moneyline based on convergent data.

Highlights unavailable.