Maryland vs Old Dominion

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-28 06:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-28 10:47 AM EST

Maryland vs Old Dominion on 2025-12-28

💰 Best Bet #1 [Maryland / Spread / -12.5 at -110 / 65% / Maryland’s superior adjusted efficiency and home advantage dominate Old Dominion’s weaker defense, aligning with simulation cover rate despite some injuries.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams’ recent tempos suggest moderate scoring potential, with Maryland’s offense pushing above the line based on average simulated total of 150.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Maryland / Moneyline / -800 / 82% / Overwhelming win probability from metrics and form gives Maryland a clear edge as heavy favorites.]

Game Times
ET: 06:00 PM
CT: 05:00 PM
MT: 04:00 PM
PT: 03:00 PM
AKT: 02:00 PM
HST: 12:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[70% / 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at -11.5, moved to -12.5 with balanced action favoring the favorite.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.5% on Maryland spread; simulation and efficiency metrics show value despite public lean, with no strong RLM countering.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Maryland | 82.00% |
| Win % for Old Dominion | 18.00% |
| Spread Cover % for Maryland | 65.00% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 150.00 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5.00, 35.00] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Maryland, making following the favorite optimal given the EV edge from efficiency ratings and home splits. Old Dominion’s road struggles amplify this, though Maryland’s injuries slightly temper the margin. Overall game outlook points to a higher-scoring affair driven by Maryland’s pace against a porous ODU defense.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Maryland] — mathematical probability favors the Terps’ dominance in this mismatch.

Highlights unavailable.