Delaware vs Missouri State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-29 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-29 11:37 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Delaware / Spread / -1.5 at -110 / 54% / Delaware holds a slight home-court edge with stronger offensive efficiency against Missouri State’s middling defense in recent outings.
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 51% / Both squads rank average in pace and rebounding, with defenses allowing over 70 points per game lately, tilting toward a modest over.
💰 Best Bet #3 Delaware / Moneyline / -120 / 58% / Simulations favor Delaware’s win probability, backed by better adjusted efficiency metrics and no major injuries.

Delaware vs Missouri State on 2025-12-29

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Delaware 60% / Missouri State 40%

💰 Money Distribution
Delaware 55% / Missouri State 45%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at Delaware -1.5, with minimal shift despite moderate public action on the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Delaware spread; line consensus across books shows value in home favorite given efficiency ratings and simulation outputs.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Delaware | 58% |
| Win % for Missouri State | 42% |
| Spread Cover % for Delaware | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 142.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-4.8, 7.2] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Delaware, aligning with sharp money indicators and no significant reverse line movement, making a follow on the favorite optimal based on home advantage and form. Missouri State’s road struggles add to the edge without overhyping the matchup. Overall scoring projects moderately high, as both teams’ defenses have shown vulnerabilities in rebounding and transition play this season.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Delaware — simulations and metrics confirm the highest probability on the home side.

Highlights unavailable.