Creighton vs Butler

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-30 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-30 11:37 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Creighton / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 56% / Creighton’s strong home efficiency and Butler’s road struggles provide a clear edge, supported by recent form and McAndrew’s absence not derailing their depth.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 153.5 at -110 / 51% / Both teams’ mid-tempo pace and defensive rebounding weaknesses suggest a higher-scoring affair, aligning with offensive trends in Big East matchups.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Creighton / Moneyline / -190 / 62% / Home advantage in Omaha combined with superior adjusted efficiency ratings favors the Bluejays outright.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Creighton | 62.3% |
| Win % for Butler | 37.7% |
| Spread Cover % for Creighton | 56.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51.4% / Under: 48.6% |
| Average Total Points | 165.9 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-18.2, 22.1] |

Creighton vs Butler on 2025-12-30

Game Times
ET: 09:00 PM
CT: 08:00 PM
MT: 07:00 PM
PT: 06:00 PM
AKT: 05:00 PM
HST: 03:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[65% / 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% / 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at -4.5 and held steady, with no significant shifts despite moderate public interest on the favorite.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Creighton spread; simulation and efficiency metrics exceed implied probability, bolstered by home splits.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Creighton, aligning with sharp money indicators and no reverse line movement, making a follow strategy optimal based on converging data. Creighton’s adjusted offensive efficiency (top-25 nationally) clashes with Butler’s middling defense, projecting a moderate-scoring game around 166 total points. Injuries like McAndrew’s absence are factored in but do not shift the edge significantly due to Creighton’s depth.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Creighton] — mathematical probability supports the home favorite in this matchup.

Highlights unavailable.