NCAAB
Longwood vs 
Winthrop
League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-31 03:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-31 09:01 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 [Longwood / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 55% / Longwood’s strong home efficiency and Winthrop’s road struggles support covering the spread, with recent form showing solid defensive play.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 145.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempos and solid defenses in recent matchups, projecting a controlled game below the total line.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Longwood / Moneyline / -190 / 60% / Home advantage and superior adjusted ratings give Longwood the edge in win probability against a middling Winthrop squad.]
Longwood vs Winthrop on 2025-12-31
Game Times
ET: 03:00 PM
CT: 02:00 PM
MT: 01:00 PM
PT: 12:00 PM
AKT: 11:00 AM
HST: 09:00 AM
💸 Public Bets
[65% Longwood / 35% Winthrop]
💰 Money Distribution
[55% Longwood / 45% Winthrop]
💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]
📉 Line Movement
[Stable at Longwood -4.5, with minimal movement despite public lean toward home team]
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Longwood spread, driven by efficiency metrics and home-field value outweighing public action]
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Longwood | 58.2% |
| Win % for Winthrop | 39.1% |
| Spread Cover % for Longwood | 54.7% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.3% / Under: 51.7% |
| Average Total Points | 144.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.2, 16.5] |
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Longwood, aligning with sharp money indicators and mathematical projections from efficiency ratings, making following the home team optimal without a need to fade. Both offenses face capable defenses, pointing to a lower-scoring affair under the total. Overall, the matchup favors Longwood’s home dominance in a grind-it-out contest.
🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Longwood] — solid probability backed by metrics and market consensus.
Highlights unavailable.