Los Angeles Clippers vs Utah Jazz

League: NBA | Date: 2026-01-01 10:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-01 06:27 PM EST

Los Angeles Clippers vs Utah Jazz on 2026-01-01

💰 Best Bet #1 [Los Angeles Clippers / Spread / -12.5 at -110 / 58% / Clippers riding a five-game win streak with key Jazz players sidelined, including Nurkic and Kessler out, boosting cover probability despite public heavy on them]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 232.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams hampered by injuries reducing scoring pace; Clippers average 218 total in recent sims, Jazz defensive woes but low output expected]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Los Angeles Clippers / Moneyline / -750 / 72% / Dominant home edge and Utah’s injury-riddled roster make Clippers heavy favorites with strong win projection]

Game Times

ET: 10:30 PM
CT: 9:30 PM
MT: 8:30 PM
PT: 7:30 PM
AKT: 6:30 PM
HST: 4:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[78% Clippers / 22% Jazz]

💰 Money Distribution
[65% Clippers / 35% Jazz]

💹 Market Alignment
[Divergent]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -11.5 and moved to -12.5 with sharp action on Clippers despite heavy public betting, indicating professional support for the favorite.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Los Angeles Clippers | 72% |
| Win % for Utah Jazz | 28% |
| Spread Cover % for Los Angeles Clippers | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 218 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, 28] |

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+4.2% on Clippers spread; reverse line movement against public fade supports value, with injuries amplifying edge over implied odds probability]

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Kawhi Leonard / Over Points / 25.5 at -115 / 68% / Leonard’s usage spikes without Zubac, averaging 28.2 PPG last 5 home games vs Jazz weak perimeter D
Player Prop #2: James Harden / Over Assists / 8.5 at -110 / 62% / Harden dishes 9.4 APG recently with Jazz guards questionable, exploiting transition opportunities
Player Prop #3: Lauri Markkanen / Over Rebounds / 8.5 at -105 / 59% / If Markkanen plays (questionable but trending up), his 10.1 RPG vs Clippers frontcourt depletion favors over amid Kessler’s absence

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily backs the Clippers, but divergent money flow suggests sharp resistance on the spread, making a partial fade viable if EV holds; however, math aligns with following Clippers due to Utah’s extensive injuries. Overall game scoring trends low with key absences on both sides disrupting offensive flow, favoring under.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Clippers] — matchup dynamics and sims confirm highest win probability on the favorite.

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