Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars

League: NHL | Date: 2026-01-01 08:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-01 10:22 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Dallas Stars / Puck Line / -1.5 at +110 / 60% / Dallas holds a strong edge at home with superior depth and goaltending from Oettinger, while Chicago’s missing key centers like Bedard and Dickinson weaken their offense, supporting a multi-goal win in 58% of sims.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 5.5 at -110 / 55% / Data shows defensive matchups favoring low scoring with Dallas’s recent form and Chicago’s injuries limiting chances, flipping the slight over lean to under for value based on historical trends.

💰 Best Bet #3 Dallas Stars / Moneyline / -250 / 75% / Stars dominate with 75% win probability from sims, bolstered by home-ice advantage and resilience despite past injuries, against a depleted Blackhawks squad.

Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars on 2026-01-01

Game Times
ET: 8:30 PM
CT: 7:30 PM
MT: 6:30 PM
PT: 5:30 PM
AKT: 4:30 PM
HST: 2:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
Chicago 30% / Dallas 70%

💰 Money Distribution
Chicago 20% / Dallas 80%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Dallas -1.5 (+115) and tightened to -1.5 (+110) with heavy money on Stars, no significant RLM despite public favoritism toward home team.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% on Dallas puck line, driven by sim win probability exceeding implied odds and sharp money alignment without public overreaction.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Chicago Blackhawks | 25.0% |
| Win % for Dallas Stars | 75.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Chicago Blackhawks | 42.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Points/Runs/Goals | 5.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-4.0, 2.0] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Dallas, aligning with sharp money and sim projections, making a follow on the Stars optimal rather than fading. Chicago’s injuries to top centers reduce their scoring potential, while Dallas’s goaltending and home form suggest a controlled, lower-scoring affair. Overall, the matchup tilts toward a Stars victory with totals leaning under due to defensive strengths.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Dallas Stars — sim and market data confirm the highest probability of success.

Highlights unavailable.