Iona vs Siena

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-02 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-02 12:19 PM EST

Iona vs Siena on 2026-01-02

💰 Best Bet #1 [Siena / +2.5 / -110 / 55% / Siena’s strong 9-4 record and 2-0 MAAC start provide value against Iona’s 1-2 conference mark, with home advantage not enough to cover small spread based on recent form]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 145.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams average around 75-80 points per game in current season, with Iona’s home games trending higher and defensive metrics allowing efficient scoring]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Iona / Moneyline / -113 / 52% / Slight home edge in a close matchup, supported by line stability and historical performance at Hynes Athletics Center]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Iona | 52.0% |
| Win % for Siena | 48.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Iona | 48.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 148.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10.0, 12.0] |

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Iona 65% / Siena 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Iona 60% / Siena 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Iona -2 and held steady at -2.5 despite moderate public action on the favorite, indicating no significant sharp movement as of latest updates.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Siena +2.5 / Reverse line stability against public lean on Iona suggests value in underdog spread, aligned with Siena’s superior conference form and efficiency metrics from current 2026 season.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Iona as the home favorite, aligning with money distribution but diverging slightly from Siena’s better overall and conference record this season. Following the public on Iona carries risk given the close moneyline odds and Siena’s recent wins, making a fade on the spread optimal for value. Overall game scoring projects moderately high, with both teams’ offensive efficiencies supporting an over in a fast-paced MAAC matchup.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Fade the public on Siena +2.5] — mathematical probability favors the underdog covering based on form and simulation edges.

Highlights unavailable.