Washington State vs Loyola Marymount

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-02 09:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-02 12:29 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Washington State / Spread / -1.5 at -110 / 55% / Washington State’s home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency ratings give them an edge to cover the slim spread, supported by recent form and line movement favoring the Cougars.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempos and strong defensive rebounding percentages in recent games, pointing to a controlled pace likely to keep the total below the line.

💰 Best Bet #3 Washington State / Moneyline / -120 / 58% / The Cougars’ higher offensive efficiency and home-court factor make them the safer outright winner against a road-weary Loyola Marymount squad.

Washington State vs Loyola Marymount on 2026-01-02

Game Times

ET: 09:30 PM
CT: 08:30 PM
MT: 07:30 PM
PT: 06:30 PM
AKT: 05:30 PM
HST: 03:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

Washington State 62% / Loyola Marymount 38%

💰 Money Distribution

Washington State 58% / Loyola Marymount 42%

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Washington State -2.5 but has moved to -1.5 despite heavy public action on the favorite, indicating possible sharp money on the underdog side.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+2.5% on Washington State spread; reverse line movement against public percentage suggests value, bolstered by WSU’s home efficiency advantage in current season metrics.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Washington State | 58.2% |
| Win % for Loyola Marymount | 41.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Washington State | 54.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.7% / Under: 51.3% |
| Average Total Points | 141.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.5, 16.8] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Myles Rice / Over Points / 16.5 at -110 / 62% / Rice’s high usage rate (28%) and strong performance against similar defenses (averaging 18.2 PPG last 5 games) support exceeding this line, especially with LMU’s perimeter vulnerabilities.

Player Prop #2: Dominick Harris / Under Points / 14.5 at -105 / 58% / Harris faces WSU’s stout interior defense, where opponents shoot 42% from the field; his recent road splits show 12.1 PPG, favoring the under.

Player Prop #3: TJ Bamba / Over Rebounds / 7.5 at -115 / 55% / Bamba’s 8.4 RPG in home games aligns with LMU’s average offensive rebounding, providing ample opportunities in a projected physical matchup.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Washington State, aligning with money distribution and the model’s efficiency projections, making following the favorite optimal rather than fading. Sharp indicators from line movement add contrarian value to the spread without overriding the consensus. Overall, expect a moderate-scoring affair as both defenses rank top-150 in adjusted efficiency, limiting explosive plays.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with Washington State — the combination of home advantage, aligned market action, and simulation-backed probabilities points to the Cougars as the highest-value side.

Highlights unavailable.