Army vs Colgate

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-03 01:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-03 11:51 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Army / Spread / +6.5 at -110 / 52% / Simulation indicates a close contest with Army covering in over half of iterations, supported by their underdog performance in recent Patriot League games and Colgate’s road defensive lapses.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempos and solid defensive rebounding rates in current season matchups, with recent games trending below the line due to turnover-forcing defenses.
💰 Best Bet #3 Colgate / Moneyline / -280 / 63% / Colgate’s superior adjusted efficiency and win streak provide a clear edge, aligning with home-court advantage in this conference tilt.

Army vs Colgate on 2026-01-03

Game Times
ET: 1:00 PM
CT: 12:00 PM
MT: 11:00 AM
PT: 10:00 AM
AKT: 9:00 AM
HST: 7:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Colgate 65% / Army 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Colgate 70% / Army 30%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at Colgate -6.5, with minimal shift despite moderate public action on the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2% on Army +6.5, as simulation probabilities exceed implied odds, bolstered by Army’s 8-3 ATS record as underdogs this season.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Army | 32% |
| Win % for Colgate | 63% |
| Spread Cover % for Army (+6.5) | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 139.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, 22] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Colgate, aligning with sharp money indicators and current season form where Colgate dominates conference play. Following the favorite makes sense mathematically, though value emerges on the spread due to simulation edges and Army’s resilience in underdog spots. Overall game scoring projects as moderate, with defenses likely capping output below the total based on rebounding and turnover metrics.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Colgate — strong probabilities support the favorite in this matchup.

Highlights unavailable.