Delaware State vs Coppin State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-03 04:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-03 12:25 PM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 Delaware State / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 55% / Delaware State holds a clear efficiency edge in adjusted offensive and defensive ratings from current season metrics, bolstered by home-court advantage in MEAC play, with simulation showing consistent cover probability above 50%.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams rank in the bottom quartile for tempo and effective FG% this season, with recent games averaging under the line due to strong defensive rebounding and low turnover forcing, suggesting a grind-it-out affair.

💰 Best Bet #3 Delaware State / Moneyline / -200 / 62% / Superior recent form (3-2 in last 5) and matchup history against Coppin State give Delaware State a projected win rate well above the implied odds, with minimal injury impact.

🏀 Matchup: Delaware State vs Coppin State on 2026-01-03

Game Times

ET: 4:00 PM
CT: 3:00 PM
MT: 2:00 PM
PT: 1:00 PM
AKT: 12:00 PM
HST: 10:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

Delaware State 70% / Coppin State 30%

💰 Money Distribution

Delaware State 60% / Coppin State 40%

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -3.5 for Delaware State and moved to -4.5 despite heavy public action on the favorite, indicating some sharp money on the home side early in the week.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+3% EV on the Delaware State spread, driven by reverse line movement against public percentage and current season efficiency differentials (Delaware State +5.2 net rating edge per KenPom data as of 2026-01-03), creating value despite consensus alignment.

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Delaware State | 62.34% |
| Win % for Coppin State | 37.66% |
| Spread Cover % for Delaware State | 55.12% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.23% / Under: 51.77% |
| Average Total Points | 140.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.5, 18.3] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Delaware State, aligning with money distribution and line movement, making a follow-public approach optimal rather than a forced fade, as EV calculations confirm value on the home side without sharp resistance indicators. Both teams exhibit low-pace, defensive-oriented play this season, with Delaware State’s havoc rate (15.2%) stifling Coppin State’s inefficient offense (adj. O rating 88.4), pointing to a lower-scoring game below the total. Overall, the matchup favors the home team in a controlled, under-paced contest.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with Delaware State — simulation and market data converge on a 62% win probability, supported by home advantage and current season form.

Highlights unavailable.