Niagara vs Fairfield

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-04 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-04 10:56 AM EST

Niagara vs Fairfield on 2026-01-04

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💰 Best Bet #1 [Fairfield / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 55% / Fairfield’s stronger defensive efficiency and home advantage support covering the small spread against Niagara’s struggling offense]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ recent games show moderate scoring trends, with pace and rebounding rates suggesting the total pushes above the line]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Fairfield / Moneyline / -160 / 55% / Superior overall metrics and recent form give Fairfield the edge in a matchup favoring the home team]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Niagara | 40.0% |
| Win % for Fairfield | 55.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Niagara | 45.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Points | 142.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10.0, 16.0] |

💸 Public Bets
[35% Niagara / 65% Fairfield]

💰 Money Distribution
[45% Niagara / 55% Fairfield]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Fairfield -3 and has held steady at -3.5, with minimal movement despite moderate public interest on the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Fairfield spread; line consensus across sportsbooks aligns with efficiency ratings, providing value against Niagara’s poor road performance in the current season.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster and injury verification failure from current data sources.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Fairfield, aligning with sharp money indicators and recent line stability, making a follow on the favorite optimal rather than fading. Both teams exhibit average defensive rebounding, but Fairfield’s home splits suggest a controlled, mid-scoring affair without extreme variance. Overall, the matchup favors the home side without significant upset risk.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Fairfield / No clear edge] — mathematical probability supports the favorite based on form and metrics.

Highlights unavailable.